Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.096480 0.114440 0.134556 0.158719 0.186917 0.218746 0.257358
2025-02-09 0.068501 0.091496 0.120176 0.158412 0.207872 0.269497 0.351884
2025-02-16 0.053178 0.078025 0.111745 0.160493 0.228736 0.320376 0.452161
2025-02-23 0.044350 0.070366 0.108229 0.166724 0.254039 0.378577 0.568414
2025-03-02 0.035331 0.060167 0.098656 0.161751 0.261440 0.411362 0.651818
2025-03-09 0.029678 0.053843 0.093451 0.161878 0.275524 0.454520 0.754559
2025-03-16 0.024838 0.047815 0.087490 0.159444 0.284563 0.490137 0.848838
2025-03-23 0.021973 0.044639 0.085667 0.163399 0.304228 0.544473 0.978834
2025-03-30 0.018879 0.040421 0.081240 0.161906 0.313928 0.582745 1.085478
2025-04-06 0.016050 0.036163 0.076000 0.157990 0.318452 0.612077 1.179124
2025-04-13 0.013566 0.032126 0.070504 0.152656 0.319388 0.634654 1.262437
2025-04-20 0.012272 0.030398 0.069359 0.155746 0.336844 0.689389 1.410693
2025-04-27 0.011004 0.028534 0.067727 0.157775 0.352805 0.743714 1.565468
2025-05-04 0.009780 0.026546 0.065521 0.158275 0.365718 0.793572 1.717115
2025-05-11 0.008838 0.025061 0.064207 0.160532 0.382603 0.853140 1.894387
2025-05-18 0.008251 0.024370 0.064631 0.166804 0.409034 0.935133 2.126105
2025-05-25 0.007118 0.021989 0.060568 0.161838 0.409346 0.961531 2.242708
2025-06-01 0.006391 0.020583 0.058713 0.161966 0.421463 1.014763 2.422551
2025-06-08 0.005643 0.018954 0.056008 0.159531 0.427081 1.053945 2.574942
2025-06-15 0.005243 0.018291 0.055782 0.163488 0.448856 1.132133 2.823057
2025-06-22 0.004684 0.017011 0.053637 0.161995 0.456675 1.178442 3.001789
2025-06-29 0.004113 0.015565 0.050770 0.158076 0.457700 1.208566 3.145132
2025-07-06 0.003573 0.014095 0.047576 0.152740 0.454255 1.227349 3.262871